DAQMAN Fri: Cheltenham NAP

DAQMAN Fri: Aintree DAY 2

CHOOSE FROM THE WINNING JOCKEYS: Davy Russell (Run Wild Fred), Daryl Jacob (Good Boy Bobby), Derek Fox (Mighty Thunder), Rachael Blackmore (Minella Times) and Ryan Mania (Dingo Dollar) are all previous winning jockeys now announced as riding in tomorrow’s Grand National.

..OR CHOOSE FROM THE WINNING STATS: Daqman’s famous ABC test of all 40 runners in tomorrow’s Grand National gives you facts behind past winners as a guide to their chances. Follow the instructions below.

TODAY’S AINTREE (Day 2) HEADLINES: Whichever way you pick your winner, get value from BETDAQ betting, as described by Daqman in his first headline story before today’s analysis of all seven races:

DIAMOND VALUE IN BETDAQ BET
TRONADOR SAVED FOR DOUBLE
JONBON AND NO ‘SUPRISE’ NOW
BRAVE PUNTERS MUST CHOOSE
FAKIR LOOKS WORTH THE WAIT
SENIOR CITIZEN FOR THE TOPHAM
LOOK OUT BELLO! NICHOLLS AGAIN
HACKER’S HUGE AT BETDAQ 15.0


Give us a break! Not a single winning favourite for six consecutive races at Aintree yesterday and yet the bookies ran for cover and bolstered the total SP to 134% and then 130% and 129%.

They were on the take in the handicaps, of course. Those 130-plus overrounds were in the Foxhunters and the Red Rum Chase.

What does it tell you to expect in the Grand National? As if we didn’t know already: when Minella Times won last year, the total SP was 146%. When Tiger Roll won in 2019, it was 163%. Repeat: 163!

The answer, my friends, is a click away to the value intrinsic in the BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE where the offers as total percentages added up per race this morning at 8.30 a.m. to an incredible..

BETDAQ % 106, 103, 101, 104, 107, 104, 104

To get value for money on every horse in every race, be where YOU make and take the offers so you get the prices you want.

Daqman example. Daqman had tough luck with Cat Tiger (2nd 8-1 yesterday) but a BETDAQ diamond shone for him in the last. He had 5.9 morning offers on the exchange about Ashroe Diamond (WON 9-4). Ashroe Diamond put him 3-2 up on Pricewise.


⚠️ HEADS UP Paul Nicholls got his big winner yesterday, with Clan des Obeaux.

He and Dan Skelton are 128 each for the season but Nicholls leads £2.46m to Nicky Henderson on £2.23m, Skelton on £1.95m, while Willie Mullins (£1.62m) and Venetia Williams (£1.53m) need the National winner if they are to gatecrash the party.

⭕ 1.45 Aintree (Aintree Handicap Hurdle) Not a favourite in sight, with recent winners at 7-1, 8-1, 10-1 (three), 14-1, 16-1 (two), 20-1, 22-1 and 33-1. Only one winner carried more than 11st 4lb.

Nicky Henderson has won it three times in six years (2013-19), with Gordon Elliott (including when aka Denise Foster) next best on two in the decade.

A huge field today but total percentages for each runner added up to an incredible 106% in the BETDAQ orange this morning, so close to a level playing-field you can have two or three bets and still have an edge.

Fils D’Oudairies has class and has suggested he could be a force, switched to Henderson from a moderate spell over fences for Joseph O’Brien. Stablemate Balco Coastal is unexposed but doesn’t want too much rain.

The favourite, Langer Dan (Skelton), is fresh, brought down at the second when favourite to go one better in the Martin Pipe at Cheltenham (Cobblers Dream second) after finishing runner-up to the flying Galopin Des Champs last year.

Tronador won this race for Gordon Elliott in 2021; has been saved for it again but is 8lb higher.

Speech Bubble ran second to Love Envoi at Sandown and has been the punt in this during the week.

Betdaq value 5.4 Langer Dan, 10 Fils D’Oudairies, 28 Tronador


⭕ 2.20 Aintree (Top Novices’ Hurdle) The likes of Josses Hill, My Tent Or Yours and Buveur d’Air have won this, among five in the decade for Nicky Henderson. But he lost out to Irish raiders in 2019 and 2021.

Today reads like more of the same with Henderson’s Jonbon and First Street attacked by Willie Mullins’ El Fabiolo and Peter Fahey (last year’s winner) with Suprise Package, who was raised 10lb for ‘suprising’ in the Imperial Cup at 20-1.

Fortune-Cookie Jonbon was second to a future champion hurdler (Constitution Hill) in the Supreme.

But the handicapper has County Hurdle runner-up First Street on a par (both on 147).

El Fabiolo hasn’t been seen since his New Year’s Day romp at odds-on which had Wllie Mullins describing him in glowing terms alongside some of his best novices. Yet he’s now hooded.

FORTUNE COOKIE Jonbon


⭕ 2.55 Aintree (Mildmay Novices Chase) This is a favourite’s race (four out of the last six), with no winner in the decade bigger than 11-2 at SP.

L’Homme Presse beat subsequent Kim Muir runner–up, Mister Coffey over 2m 4f at Sandown, then stepped up to 3m+ and beat Ahoy Senor in the old RSA at Cheltenham.

Bravemansgame had beaten Ahoy Senor in the Kauto Star at Kempton on Boxing Day, so only today’s race can split the two: four-in-a-row Bravemansgame versus five-consecutive L’Homme Presse, both rated 164.

Both are Fortune Cookies so the race is a winner and, betting-wise, a loser for us. As so often in these small-field clashes, you have to take sides, I’m afraid. At 101% this morning, the BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE market is well on your side!


⭕ 3.30 Aintree (Marsh/Melling Chase) An absolute goldmine this. Seams of fabulous 2m and 2m 4f form represented in the decade by such as Master Minded, Sprinter Sacre, Don Cossack and Politologue.

It used to be won back to back (Viking Flagship 1995-6), Moscow Flyer (2004-5) and Voy Por Ustedes (2008-9) among them.

Joseph O’Brien wants to restore that trend today with last year’s winner, Fakir D’Oudairies, who had been runner-up in the Ryanair, but missed the festival last month to wait for this (or to avoid a clash with Allaho; or both).

You could see an improved performance from flat-track specialist and front runner Allmankind, who skipped round here to win the Old Roan Chase in the autumn.

BETDAQ value 2.36 Fakir D’Oudairies, 17.5 Allmankind


⭕ 4.05 Aintree (Topham Chase) No successful favourite in sight! SPs from 11-2, 8-1, 9-1, 10-1 to 22-1 even 50-1.

Yet the winning trainers are the usual suspects.. and in doubles and trebles!

Nicky Henderson (three in a row 2013-15), Colin Tizzard at the double (2017-18) and Willie Mullins landing the last two (2019 and 2021), with the chance of a hat-trick himself today.

L’Homme Presse in the Mildmay would boost the chances of Henderson’s Mister Coffey, but are those chances dimmed by his being second in the Kim Muir at Cheltenham.

It’s only three weeks ago, and Protektorat couldn’t reproduce his Cheltenham form yesterday.

Christian Williams, who landed a one-two in the Scottish National last weekend, has Five Star Getaway likely to set the pace in this.

He held on from Fortescue at Kempton over Christmas and Grand National backers of Fortescue will be hoping their luck continues after their fancy squeezed into Saturday’s race at the final declaration stage.

Willie Mullins’ runner is Royal Rendezvous. His chance of the hat-trick with this one may be blighted by the horse’s propensity for jumping right.

Mac Tottie won the Grand Sefton over these National fences (Senior Citizen second) but fell in the Becher Chase. Late-developer Senior Citizen was third in the Topham last year, Snugsborough Hall fourth.

Betdaq value 16.5 Senior Citizen


⭕ 4.40 Aintree (Sefton Novices Hurdle) If something springs a surprise in this, stay with it. The last two shock winners were Thistlecrack (25-1 in 2015) and Ahoy Senor (66-1 last year)!

Ahoy Senor is, of course, trained by Lucinda Rusell, who saddles Haute Estime today. The mare has been keeping goodish company – Barrichello, Nina The Terrier, Love Envoi – but is bred to do better over this 3m.

Something similar applies to the Martin Pipe winner, Banbridge, the improver Bowtogreatness, staying prospect Bold Endeavour and Paul Nicholls’ Gelino Bello, who won his maiden at Aintree and should respond to this step back up in trip.

Top marks for naming a Mount Nelson gelding Duke Of Bronte but what’s he doing as a hurdles recruit aged eight. Surely too old to make his mark here. Skytastic looks overrated on what he’s done.

BETDAQ value 6.5 Gelino Bello, 152.0 Haute Estime


⭕ 5.15 Aintree Conditionals and amateurs in a huge field for a 2m hurdle. No wonder no outright favourite has won.

🤔 LAYS LOGIC Whizz Kid has beaten nothing well and, if he continues to shorten up, is worth taking on.

Hacker Des Places scored at Chepstow under today’s claimer before keeping on well, third, in the Imperial Cup behind Suprise Package and Lively Citizen.

Suprise Package could boost the form in the opening Top Novices Hurdle.
Betdaq value 15.0 Hacker Des Places

DAQMAN’S BETS

1.45 Aintree (win 10, win 30)
BET 2.25pts win LANGER DAN
BET 3pts win FILS D’OUDAIRIES
BET 1pt win TRONADOR

2.20 Aintree
FORTUNE COOKIE (nap)
BET 10pts win JONBON

2.55 Aintree
FORTUNE COOKIES
BET 10pts win BRAVEMANSGAME
BET 10pts win L’HOMME PRESSE

3.30 Aintree (win 10, win 20)
BET 7pts win FAKIR D’OUDAIRIES
BET 1.25pts win ALLMANKIND

4.05 Aintree (win 50)
BULL’S-EYE BET 3.25pts win SENIOR CITIZEN

4.40 Aintree (win 20, win 150 with place 10)
BET 4pts win GELINO BELLO
BET 1pt win and place HAUTE ESTIME

5.15 Aintree (win 50)
BULL’S-EYE BET 3.5pts win HACKER DES PLACES


What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….

Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.

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