DAQMAN: THREE NAPS IN FOUR DAYS’ PROFIT: With two out of three yesterday for four days profit in a row (totting up to 61.95), including his third winning nap out of four, Daqman has had at least one winner every day for 14 of the last 15 days
Friday: profit on the day 22.75
WON 9-4 CHATEAU (nap)
WON 2-1 JUAN LES PINS (BETDAQ 4.5 taken)
Thursday: profit on the day 5.25
WON 15-8 BOUNDLESS OCEAN
Wednesday: profit on the day 29.20
WON 5-2 UNANSWERED
WON 11-8 CIGAMIA
WON 4-5 SPANGLED MAC (nap)
Tuesday: profit on the day 4.75
WON 11-8 STORM CASTLE (nap)
FIVE MEETINGS ABANDONED NEXT WEEK: The heat warning for Monday and Tuesday has prompted abandonment of five English race-meetings in the area of forecast extreme temperatures:
Monday: Beverley, Windsor abandoned. Racing takes place at Ayr and Cartmel.
Tuesday: Chelmsford, Southwell, Wolverhampton abandoned. Racing only at Musselburgh in Scotland.
⭕ 2.03 The Curragh (Anglesey Stakes) If there is a negative about plunging on Little Big Bear, it is that, though Aidan O’Brien has won this four times in the last nine years, none was outright favourite and all had been beaten at Royal Ascot.
It surely can’t take anything away from Little Big Bear that he won the Windsor Castle, and Rocket Rodney at Sandown and Chateau yesterday (Friday) have already boosted the form.
Ballydoyle’s answer? ‘This is a really big colt with masses of pace. We think he might be good enough to run in the Nunthorpe.’
In fact, Little Big Bear is stepping up from Listed level at Ascot to this Group 3 and, as a strong horse with speed and a gallop, this 6.5 furlongs is ideal, and will tell them more about his Nunthorpe chance of a month’s time.
I could get 7 for every 10 staked on Betdaq Betting Exchange this morning for a supernap 20-points win.
⭕ 2.35 The Curragh (Scurry Handicap) This is usually won by a double-figure stall: 12 (twice), 14, 15 and 17 in the last seven years.
But the 6.5f race also tempts 7f horses into battle and, as Romantic Proposal did in 2020, a strong pace can lay it on for a galloping finish for something with a bit of stamina, lying in wait.
This applies to the only other low-stall winner, Verhoyen (2019) but not coming from behind this time. The secret of his success is that he was already proven at 7f, so they made plenty of use of him.
Majestic Colt, a 7f-plus winner four times in Germany for Andreas Wohler, has crashed 15lb after four
races over 5f and 6f for Denis Hogan, and is claimed off for another 3lb today. Too big at 50.0.
Laugh A Minute (stall 13) has raced over 7f but Lord Dudley (out of 16 today) is a 7f winner in a premier handicap at Cork, and ran well here at the Curragh the last day after a break. I took BETDAQ 10.0.
Blairmayne was runner-up to Lord Dudley that day and is better off at the weights, but a nine-year-old now, so not a safe bet.
At the other end of the scale, Coumshingaun is improving and drawn 14; a three-year-old won it in 2015. BETDAQ 9.6.
⭕ 2.41 Market Rasen (Summer Hurdle) The Summer Plate (3.14) is a fascinating race – Grade 3 chase – for the time of year and I might have a flutter after I have collected from Caramelised, who looks a real sweetie as a recent winner on the Flat for Alan King, and far too big at 8.3 on BETDAQ.
⭕ 2.56 Newbury (Hackwood Stakes, Group 3) The low-six stalls are eight out of 10 in this, and last year’s winner and second Happy Romance and Diligent Harry came out of 2 and 3. They were seventh and 11th, respectively, in the Platinum Jubilee a month ago.
Rohaan was a comfy winner of the Wokingham at the same royal meeting, having won last year’s Commonwealth Cup by just over a length from Saint Lawrence.
Saint Lawrence has never been out of the first three at Newbury and was staying on in first-time blinkers behind the Aussie super-sprinter Nature Strip in the Kings Stand, among horses rated 110-112, with Man Of Promise behind him.
BETDAQ value Saint Lawrence looks value in the each–way market at 13.0
⭕ 3.30 Newbury (Super Sprint) The winners by stall in the decade were 21, 10, 14, 15, 13, 13, 19, 25, 18, 16, and the first three in the last two years 15-14-18 and 16-22-21.
The stats are against the Richard Hannon gamble, Swift Asset, for two reasons: firstly his draw in the one stall, secondly his carrying 9st 3lb, higher than any winner in the decade.
Of his four winners in this over eight seasons, three of Hannon’s were fillies, and the Queen Mary fifth, Miami Girl, is drawn 16, albeit also set 9st 3lb and 6lb worse off with the third at Royal Ascot, Maria Branwell (gate 11 today).
Rogue Spirit (out of 18) must have a big chance, having run a neck second at Beverley (giving 2lb) to the Windsor Castle fourth and Rose Bowl winner, Chateau.
Eddie’s Boy, who finished just in front of Chateau in the Royal Ascot race, was disappointing (hanging throughout, despite cheekpieces) at Sandown.
Dare To Hope (19) comes out as Windsor Castle winner if able to reproduce his debut defeat of Rocket Rodney. The Richard Fahey yard has won this three times since 2013 and Dare To Hope looks saved up for this £98,000 prize.
Land Of Summer (stall 12 for Hannon with Hayley Turner up) must also be considered, dropped back to the minimum after racing prominently over the 6f of the Albany.
BETDAQ value 18 Dare To Hope, 33 Land Of Summer (saver 5.9 Rogue Spirit)
⭕ 3.45 The Curragh (Irish Oaks) STATS: only 30% of favourites win this; 60% of winners are drawn 1, 2 or 3. TRAINERS: Aidan O‘Brien 9. JOCKEYS: Ryan Moore 2. Daqman’s verdict:
1 TOY At the beginning of the season, I temporarily had Toy in my Fortune Cookies after an impressive maiden win but she was down the field in French 1,000 Guineas and Oaks.
At the beginning of this week, with a match between Tuesday and Emily Upjohn on the cards, I had no reason to consider her again.
But Aidan O’Brien reports a step forward in her work and Ryan Moore has picked Toy (rated 101) over the rest of the Ballydoyle squad, Emily Dickinson (103) and History (104).
O’Brien has withdrawn Tuesday and Emily Upjohn has got lost in the chaos at British airports and goes for the King George instead. I took 7.4 Toy this morning.
2 MAGICAL LAGOON The improver of the race and now tops the ratings off 109. Curragh Group-3 (1m) winner as a 2yo but only seventh of nine to Inspiral in the Fillies Mile.
Gamely won the Ribblesdale at Royal Ascot, first run over 1m 4f, more than three lengths in front of History (third).
3 EMILY DICKINSON Fifth in the Lingfield Oaks Trial (slow away) but best run when stepped up to 1m 6f at Leopardstown only nine days ago: beaten a short-head in the Stanerra Stakes (Group 3).
Improvement needed but she could set them all a stamina test. Cairde Go Deo is also stamina assured, and the race has taken on a tactical look.
2.03 The Curragh (supernap)
BET 20pts win LITTLE BIG BEAR
2.35 The Curragh (win 50 bull’s-eye bets)
BET 5.75pts win COUMSHINGAUN
BET 5.5pts win LORD DUDLEY
BET 1pt win MAJESTIC COLT
2.41 Market Rasen (win 50 bull’s–eye bet)
BET 6.75pts win CARAMELISED
2.56 Newbury (win 30)
BET 2.5pts each way SAINT LAWRENCE
3.30 Newbury (2 x win 50 bull’s-eye bets, 1 x win 20)
BET 3pts win DARE TO HOPE
BET 1.5pts win LAND OF SUMMER
BET 4pts win ROGUE SPIRIT
3.45 The Curragh (win 20)
BET 3pts win TOY
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