THE STRIKER Sun: Chelsea v Liverpool (Carabao Cup Final)

THE STRIKER Sun: Chelsea v Liverpool (Carabao Cup Final)

CARABAO CUP FINAL: The Striker previews Sunday’s CHELSEA v LIVERPOOL final with a recommended BETDAQ bet.


4.30pm All eyes will be on Wembley on Sunday afternoon for a blockbuster Carabao Cup Final on BETDAQ Betting Exchange between Chelsea and Liverpool! A lot of sides these days tend to take a dim view of the Cup, usually fielding a second XI, but it gets very serious when they reach the Final! Klopp has played some very “different” teams in the Cup, but you have to remember they are still in four competitions this season and something has to take the backseat. This game will be billed as Klopp v Tuchel, and we can expect a top class game between two top class sides.

A huge talking point will be whether or not Tuchel will start Romelu Lukaku, seemingly Chelsea are doing better without him, and the whole Inter Milan thing was very strange earlier in the season. It seems the team tactics don’t really suit him, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him sold in the summer. I’m not expecting him to start here, but let’s wait and see. We could see a lot of movement on the team news here so that’s definitely a trading angle.

This fixture lands at a very good time for Liverpool in my opinion, they just hammered Leeds 6-0 midweek and closed the gap to three points on Manchester City. The title race is back on, and they went ahead of goal difference with that 6-0 win too. They seem to have all the momentum at the moment, although you have to say Manchester City are looking very strong too. Liverpool must be full of confidence though, and you can’t help but be impressed with them going forward.

Liverpool’s recent xG figures are 5.19, 3.51, 2.17, 3.30, 1.72, 3.59, 1.71 and 2.50. You can’t help but be impressed by those figures, and they are nearly scoring an average of three goals per Premier League game while conceding less than one goal per game. That’s almost perfect from a stats point of view, and you can see why they are challenging for the title. When you look at the Chelsea stats, they are clearly different. They have to grind out wins, but they haven’t had much Premier League action recently because they were busy winning the FIFA Club World Cup.

The sides met at the start of the year and Chelsea had home advantage. Liverpool took a 2-0 lead but to their credit Chelsea battled back to 2-2. On balance, it was a pretty even game over the 90 minutes and a draw was a fair result. It was a different story when Liverpool had home advantage back in August 2021 though, the game finished 1-1 but Liverpool created an xG of 3.35 and completely bossed the game. Since beating Aston Villa on Boxing Day, the Chelsea xG figures have been 0.92, 1.76, 0.43, 0.66, 1.25 and 1.12. Like I said, they are having to grind out wins rather than blowing teams away.

I know Chelsea are a top side and they deliver in finals – we saw that in the Champions League Final – but I can’t see past a Liverpool win here at 2.38. It’s rare that we get odds like this on Liverpool and I feel we should take advantage. On paper, Liverpool are the much better side and they have looked the better side when the sides have met this season despite the two draws. It’s highly likely we get a cagey start to the game, the usual big final feeling, but I can see Liverpool creating much more than Chelsea here and that’s what will win the game. Liverpool have been absolutely perfect going forward recently, and the 2.38 is a confident selection – I believe it offers so much value that it’s worth a Max Bet.

The Striker Says:
Five points win Liverpool to beat Chelsea at 2.38 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.

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