DAQMAN: 96 POINTS PROFIT IN A WEEK: Daqman took his returns in the last seven days to an overall profit of +96.45 after two winners from three bets yesterday:
WON 5-2 LORD PROTECTOR
WON 11-4 AGGAGIO
⭐ Four naps up out of the last six
⭐ Profit on the week 96.45 (11 winners)
⭐ Daqman 28, Pricewise 19 (profit 92.50)
TODAY’S TOP TIPPING: Chester, Sandown and York under the spotlight.
TOMORROW and MONDAY: ROYAL ASCOT countdown with Daqman’s 44.0 strike: key stats and Fortune Cookies. Today’s headlines:
TIM TO GET BACK ON THE BOARD
’CAT’ WITH A WONDERFUL MIND
15-2 KEMARI WON ME THE VASE
CONFIDENCE OUT OF THE GATE
WATCHYA! COX AT THE DOUBLE
⭕ 2.35 York Tim Easterby is regarded as the king of York (when William Haggas stays away!) but will need to turn the corner there today: he has had 448 runners around the country altogether this year for a strike rate of 7%.
His 29 turf wins are an improvement on his 1-23 on AW over the winter but not so’s you’d notice, percentage-wise!
Easterby is this year 2-46 at York (4%). His five-year average is only 8% but his prizemoney earned there of £1.2m in the last five years, and his level-stakes profit in that time of 57 points, suggest that we can never overlook his quality runners and his outsiders.
He runs Boardman here, instead of at Royal Ascot next week, off a mark of 99, compared with the 80 off which he scored at York last May.
The six-year-old has been a big improver, one of the stable flag-bearers while the team is generally underperforming, four wins out of five costing only a 9lb overall rise.
Boardman won well at Chester and is just 2lb worse with Mykonos St John, whom he beat, going away, so unlikely to be turned over.
Maywake is a serial winner in lower grades, completing a hat-trick when he scored at York (total cost 16lb), and Challet loves the course: York form 1133, also in lower grades, all in big-field races.
BETDAQ value 3.1 Boardman
⭕ 2.50 Sandown (Scurry Stakes, 5f): The rise and rise of Caturra out of a class-5 novice a year ago saw him win the Group-2 Flying Childers as a juvenile and start this season with a narrow defeat in a Chantilly Group 3.
He’s another who will miss Royal Ascot, dropping down to a Listed here: he’s a winner with cut in the ground; has a ‘wonderful mind and a lot of speed,’ according to trainer Clive Cox, who I fancy for a double within the hour at York.
CD-winner Live In The Dream, Listed-placed Mitbaahy and the Cornwallis runner-up Illustrating (first-time cheekpieces) should make the market stronger.
Mitbaahy came from behind with a blitzing run at Hamilton and Live In The Dream is a CD winner who showed the eponymous speed in the Epsom Dash.
BETDAQ value 2.58 Caturra
⭕ 3.05 York While Without A Fight could be the pacemaker here, the disappointing John Leeper might well go down without a fight again.
After a double in novice events, Mandoob was just falling short and they hoped a wind op would do the trick. He was placed without winning again at Ascot so they’ve tinkered with the op since then.
Clearly it’s Kemari’s time of year; Daqman backed him to win the 2021 Queen’s Vase, and he obliged at 15-2.
BETDAQ value 3.2 Kemari
⭕ 3.20 Chester (7.5f handicap): Merry-go-round Chester is notorious for low numbers in the draw spinning left, left, left along the rails.
But, as the season matures, and the ground dries out, the advantage wanes; witness this event where stall 6 got across to lead last year before a Frankel gelding weaved his way through from gate 3.
The previous year, the 8 stall was waited with to win and the year before the leader out of 6 was caught by the 4 inside the final furlong. All were small fields, so the gaps may not come so easy today.
It’s an obvious ploy to run Aleez Dancer on this course, a front or van runner out of stall 3.
Roman Dragon (gate 4) made virtually all here twice last summer but both were 6f and he faded at Haydock (7f) the last day.
That was his first run, gelded, for Hugo Palmer, who knows from the pedigree that the trip should not be a problem.
Outgate (2) was a CD winner at the Chester Cup meeting and, with all that action at the front of the grid, who dares to wait and hope to change gear and weave through late?
The form of Outgate’s Silver Bowl third at Haydock (1m) looks strong. He was beaten five lengths or so but the winner was landing four in a row and has been raised to 98; the runner-up is in the first four in the market for the Group-1 St James’s Palace Stakes on Tuesday behind the favourite, Coroebus.
Outgate was the first one backed early doors for today’s race and support continued on the BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE early this morning. I could not honestly nominate the 6.0 I took; it’s down to 3.95 already as I write, so one of the gambles of the day all round.
⭕ 3.40 York (6f handicap): 70% of winners come from stalls 1 to 5. Tim Easterby has won it three times in the decade.
His pair, Bay Breeze and Roach Power, are both high in the handicap on what we know and the best outsider could be Watchya, who has improved a stone this year, albeit both wins were on AW.
Clive Cox, who trains Caturra for the Scurry at Sandown, knows how to bring a sprinter along and he couldn’t have better material with Watchya, a Dark Angel grey out of a Kodiac mare, related down the line to a 1,000 Guineas winner.
Another at the ‘wrong’ price is Gisburn, tipped by Daqman to win at Leicester the last day when beaten a head giving the winner a stone and a half.
BETDAQ value 13.5 Gisburn, 26 Watchya
2.00 York (win 10)
BET 3pts win TOPANTICIPATION
2.35 York (win 10)
BET 2pts win BOARDMAN
2.50 Sandown (win 10)
BET 6.25pts win CATURRA
3.05 York (win 15, nap)
BET 6.75pts win KEMARI
3.20 Chester (win 12)
BET 4pts win OUTGATE
3.40 York (win 50 bull’s-eye bets)
BET 4pts win GISBURN
BET 2pts win WATCHYA
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.