THE STRIKER Mon: Crystal Palace v Leeds

PREMIER LEAGUE MONDAY: The Striker previews Monday’s Premier League game between CRYSTAL PALACE v LEEDS with extended match stats and a recommended BETDAQ bet.


8pm We have Monday Night Football to enjoy on BETDAQ Betting Exchange this week from the Premier League as Crystal Palace host Leeds. While this fixture doesn’t have much impact on the table like we had at the weekend, it is an interesting fixture from a betting point of view. We won’t have the Arsenal v Manchester United drama – but we might have the same amount of goals. With Crystal Palace trading at 2.16 at the time of writing, I’m sure there will be a lot of backers and layers. It will be interesting to see where the price goes in the lead-up to kick off.

Palace come into this game off the back of three losses. Two in the Premier League and one in an FA Cup Semi-Final. None of those losses came at home however, but looking at the home and away tables the difference is only marginal really. Palace have had a solid season under Patrick Vieira – they have had their good and bad moments in the Premier League and had a great Cup run. I think on reflection it’s been a success after Roy Hodgson left last season. Obviously they have to keep focused as we close to the end of the season – last week I said they could easily just switch off now after the FA Cup exit. In fairness that was a genuine worry, and they played very lacklustre against Newcastle to lose 1-0.

I would be watching Palace performance levels closely in the opening 15 to 20 minutes here with a view to betting in-running. If they look lacklustre again they will be a very attractive lay. Leeds come into this game unbeaten in four with three wins, and they have nearly removed themselves from the relegation battle. Given the tough fixture list for Everton it looks unlikely they will close the gap and it’s also hard to see Burnley catching them. It’s still a little uncomfortable though, and they just need to pick up another win or two to relax. They will surely view this as an excellent chance to keep their good run going – the betting markets have Crystal Palace as the clear favourites but Leeds have been scoring plenty of goals lately and will surely fancy their chances with nine goals in four games!

The Watford 3-0 win for Leeds was more impressive score line wise than performance wise, but they have created xG figures of 1.66 v Southampton, 3.29 v Wolves and 3.0 v Norwich recently. The six goals in two away games is obviously a good stat here – and they did bounce back from being 2-0 down against Wolves. I feel Leeds have a lot going in their favour here and they will definitely have a confidence edge over Palace. I’m going to keep stakes small here because I still want to form an opinion on how Palace are playing after their FA Cup exit, but we landed a bet on Newcastle expecting the Palace hangover after the FA Cup and I feel they are worth taking on again here at 2.16. I expect Leeds to give Palace a very good game here and make the 2.16 look very short.

The Striker Says:
Two points lay (liability) Crystal Palace to beat Leeds at 2.16 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.

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● Crystal Palace are unbeaten in their last five home league games against Leeds (W3 D2), winning this exact fixture 4-1 last season.
● Leeds have won their last two league games against Crystal Palace, though both have been at Elland Road. They’re looking to complete their first league double over the Eagles since 1994-95, while they’ve never won three consecutively against them before.
● Crystal Palace are unbeaten in their four Premier League games on Monday this season (W1 D3). They beat Arsenal 3-0 in their last such game, last winning consecutive top-flight Monday matches in January 2005.
● Following a 3-2 win at West Ham in January, Leeds are looking to win consecutive league games in London for the first time since April 2008 in League One. Leeds last won consecutive top-flight games in the capital in May 2003.
● Crystal Palace beat Arsenal 3-0 in their last home league game, ending a run of five without victory at Selhurst Park (D2 L3). The Eagles haven’t won consecutive home league games since March 2020.
● Leeds have won three of their last four Premier League games (D1), as many as they had in their previous 18 (D4 L11). The Whites are looking to win three consecutive top-flight away games for the first time since August 2002, while they last did so within the same season in December 2001.
● Crystal Palace boss Patrick Vieira and Leeds’ Jesse Marsch met nine times in all competitions in USA, with Marsch’s New York Red Bulls coming out on top five times to Vieira’s New York City FC’s three (one draw). Indeed, the last two meetings ended in 4-0 victories for Marsch.
● 20-year-old Sam Greenwood has come off the bench and assisted in each of his last two Premier League appearances for Leeds, with Harry Kewell in November 1998 the last Leeds player to assist in three consecutive top-flight games before the age of 21. The only player in Premier League history to assist in three consecutive appearances as a sub was Tomasz Radzinski in February/March 2004 for Everton.
● Wilfried Zaha is looking to score in three consecutive home games for Crystal Palace in all competitions for the first time since May 2018, having netted in the Eagles’ FA Cup win against Everton and Premier League victory over Arsenal.
● Jack Harrison has scored in each of his last three Premier League appearances for Leeds, netting against Wolves, Southampton and Watford. The last Leeds player to score in four in a row was Mark Viduka in April 2004, while the last English player to do so was Michael Bridges in May 2000.

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