THE STRIKER Tues: Premier League Preview

THE STRIKER Tues: Burnley v Leicester City

PREMIER LEAGUE TUESDAY: The Striker previews Tuesday’s Premier League clash between BURNLEY v LEICESTER with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats.


BURNLEY V LEICESTER

7.45pm While the focus will mainly be on the FA Cup this week, we have midweek Premier League action again on BETDAQ Betting Exchange as the league plays catch up on the fixtures missed due to Covid19 around Christmas. Postponing games because of Covid19 now seems like a lifetime ago when you look at current events, but football is a good distraction for the 90 minutes. Burnley host Leicester in what should be a good game, and Burnley come into the fixture on the back of some great momentum in the race to stay up.

Burnley are going to start this game only one point behind Everton having played the same number of games, and two points behind Leeds with two games in hand. With Leeds losing heavily again at the weekend and sacking their manager, it looks like they are in massive trouble. However, Brentford are also in trouble if Everton and Burnley take points from their games in hand – both have three games in hand on Brentford and that was a pretty poor performance from Brentford at the weekend – their worst performance at home all season to lose 2-0 to Newcastle.

Because of the Carabao Cup Final on Sunday, Leicester’s planned fixture with Chelsea had to be pushed back, so they should come into this tie feeling fresh while Burnley had to grind out a 1-1 draw with Crystal Palace. It was a poor game, and Burnley weren’t at their best but they still got a result. Palace didn’t create much anyway and Burnley wouldn’t have been unhappy with the result. Burnley must be full of confidence at the moment with two wins from their last three games, and they have only lost once in their last six fixtures and that came against Liverpool too.

Leicester looked very comfortable in the Europa Conference League last week, but you have to remember the standard of football is very low in that competition compared to what they are used to. I wouldn’t be surprised if they won that competition to be honest, but they have been very poor in the Premier League this season. Brendan Rodgers hasn’t been under pressure from the UK media, but he should be. Leicester have gone from Top Four challengers to mid-table, and given the standard of Manchester United and Arsenal this season they could have easily got that fourth spot if they kept their level.

This should be a very close game, and it’s no surprise to see a reasonably open market. That being said, I would have the open even more open. I feel Leicester are too short here at 2.48 and I would have the sides priced closer together. Burnley have been very tough to beat of late, and Leicester have been conceding silly goals and giving away plenty of chances this season. With Burnley playing with confidence at the moment I wouldn’t be surprised to see them out play Leicester and win, but I’m also happy to have the draw on my side so the Leicester lay stands out as the value play.

The Striker Says:
Two points lay (liability) Leicester to beat Burnley at 2.48 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.

You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQBurlcr

MATCH STATS

● Burnley have won just three of their 13 Premier League meetings with Leicester (D4 L6), though all three of these victories have come at Turf Moor, and all after new year in the season (Jan 2017, April 2018, Jan 2020).
● Leicester have earned just four points from their last five away league games against Burnley (W1 D1 L3), having earned 12 points from their previous five visits before this (W4 D0 L1).
● The team scoring first hasn’t gone on to win any of the last five Premier League meetings between Burnley and Leicester (D2 L3), with Leicester the last side to win after opening the scoring in the fixture (March 2019).
● Burnley have taken seven points from their last three Premier League games (W2 D1), as many as they had from their previous 11 in the competition combined (W0 D7 L4). If the Clarets avoid defeat here, it will see Everton finish a day in the relegation zone this late into a campaign for the first time since 1998-99 (32 games).
● Burnley are looking to secure consecutive home league wins for the first time since December 2020 following their 1-0 victory over Spurs last time out at Turf Moor.
● Leicester City are winless in their last five league games, alternating between defeat (3) and a draw (2) each time. They last had a longer run without a win in the Premier League in February 2019 (6).
● Leicester City have lost each of their last four Premier League away games, conceding at least twice each time. They last had a longer run of consecutive defeats on the road between September and December 2014 (7).
● Leicester have a higher Premier League win rate in March than they do in any other month of the year, winning 21 of their 50 such games in the competition (42%). The Foxes have lost just one of their last 17 Premier League games in March (W13 D3), a 2-1 away loss to Watford in 2019.
● James Maddison has been involved in 18 goals in all competitions this season (11 goals, 7 assists), more than any other Leicester player. In no campaign with the Foxes has Maddison scored more goals (11, level with 2020-21) or provided more assists (7, level with 2020-21 and 2018-19) than he has this term.
● Leicester City have won just 12.5% of their Premier League games when striker Jamie Vardy doesn’t start this season (W1 D2 L5), compared to 40% with Vardy in the starting XI (W6 D4 L5).


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