THE STRIKER Tues: Premier League Preview


PREMIER LEAGUE: The Striker previews Tuesday’s Premier League game between MAN U v BRIGHTON with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats.


8.15pm While all eyes will be on the Champions League tonight as the Last 16 kicks off, we also have Premier League action to enjoy on BETDAQ Betting Exchange as Manchester United host Brighton. I don’t think it’s too dramatic to say that United need a win here. They have put together a terrible run of results including getting dumped out of the FA Cup against Middlesbrough. I have to say it’s very difficult to approach this game because obviously the poor results have taken all the headlines, but they finished with an xG of 2.44 at the weekend against Southampton and 1.91 before that against Aston Villa. They should have won both games if they had taken their chances, so there is hope for United fans.

It almost seems remarkable that they are in the Top Four race. Each week you are waiting for Spurs to close the gap and go past with those games in hand but Southampton had a great week beating Spurs and then drawing with United, while Arsenal are also dropping some points. Maybe West Ham have a chance yet, but the reality for United is they need to start winning games again. I saw more tweets at the weekend from United fans who are starting to dislike this team. The attitude seems all wrong to me, and they seem to be a bunch of moaners which is never what Manchester United used to be like.

Rangnick has been given a very difficult job, and it seems that the players have almost rejected him after a few weeks. It was no surprise to read all the unhappy dressing room leaks when Rangnick first came in trying to make United press more. United basically rack bottom of the table on every aspect that takes effort – ground covered etc. It will take a lot to fix this mess, and they need a summer clear out in my opinion.

We have landed some nice lays on United recently, and I’m happy to lay them again here. I know they didn’t play badly against Aston Villa or Southampton, but they look like they have no confidence at the moment. When you consider Brighton will attack them too given they like to play an attacking brand of football, I can only see problems at the back for United here. Brighton were very good at the weekend away to Watford, and they have been the masters of the late goal this season. You can see them scoring late again here as Old Trafford gets nervy. United just haven’t been scoring enough goals to put sides to bed this season, and if you give Brighton a chance going into those final 15 minutes they have been taking it this season! I can’t have United at the odds here and I’m to lay the home win at 1.77. We should see Brighton play much better than those odds reflect, and I couldn’t put anyone off the Brighton win at around 5.0.

The Striker Says:
Two points lay (liability) Manchester United to beat Brighton at 1.77 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.

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● After losing two of their first three Premier League games against Brighton (W1), Manchester United have won their last five against them in the competition.
● Brighton have never won away against Manchester United in all competitions, drawing two and losing 11 of their 13 visits. In the top-flight, they’ve taken just one point from a possible 24 at Old Trafford (D1 L7), losing all four of their visits in the Premier League.
● Brighton have never won an away league match against either of the two Manchester clubs in 19 attempts (D3 L16) – in Football League history, only Hull City have played more away games against Manchester United and Manchester City without recording a win (24 games).
● Brighton have won just two of their 20 midweek (Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday) Premier League away games (D8 L10), though these victories have come at Arsenal (2-1 in December 2019) and Liverpool (1-0 in February 2021).
● Manchester United have dropped 13 points from winning positions in the Premier League this season, failing to win their last two despite leading at half-time in both. On just three occasions have the Red Devils dropped more points after going ahead in the competition, dropping 14 in each of the 1993-94, 2010-11 and 2019-20 campaigns.
● Brighton and Hove Albion have won 19 points away from home in the Premier League this season, with no side losing fewer on the road than the Seagulls this term (W4 D7 L1). It’s just one point fewer than they won away from home last season, with their 20 points in 2020-21 their highest away points total in the competition.
● Man Utd’s Marcus Rashford has scored four goals in his last five Premier League games against Brighton, with these strikes being worth six points to the Red Devils. Only against Leicester (6) has he scored more in the competition than he has versus Brighton.
● Bruno Fernandes has had a hand in five goals in his three Premier League games against Brighton for Manchester United, scoring three and assisting a further two.
● This will be Brighton manager Graham Potter’s 100th Premier League game in charge, making him the 74th manager to reach this milestone. Three of the last four managers whose milestone game in the competition came against Manchester United have won – Steve McClaren (Feb 2004), Roy Hodgson (March 2009) and Mick McCarthy (Feb 2011), with the exception being Sean Dyche in January 2018.
● Neal Maupay’s goal against Watford at the weekend was his 26th in the Premier League for Brighton – one more strike will see him become the Seagulls’ highest goalscorer in the competition (currently level with Glenn Murray).

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