CONFERENCE LEAGUE FINAL: The Ultra previews Wednesday’s Europa Conference League Final between ROMA V FEYENOORD with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
ROMA V FEYENOORD
8pm The Europa Conference League Final takes place on Wednesday night, and the eyes of the football world will be on Jose Mourinho as his Roma side face Feyenoord. This should be a very close affair, and it’s no surprise that we have a reasonably open market on BETDAQ Betting Exchange. The odds at the time of writing currently trade; Roma 2.4, Feyenoord 3.15 and the draw is 3.4. Roma have never won a major Europe trophy, and although a lot of clubs have looked down their nose at this competition, you’d have to say it would be fantastic for Roma if they could win.
Jose Mourinho was in tears at the end of the semi-final win over Leicester, and although we all know Mourinho goes through a lot of ups and downs within each dressing room – at the moment he really has these Roma players working hard for him. It’s been an eventful season in Serie A with AC Milan lifting the title for the first time in over ten years, and Roma finished back in 6th. After finishing within 5th to 7th over the last three seasons, you could argue has Mourinho really improved the side? However, winning this competition would be a major victory.
Say what you want about Mourinho, he does bring success. When he took over at Manchester United he managed a treble with a poor side, and their best finish in the Premier League in recent years too. After that first burst of success, he lost the dressing room and it all went wrong. That is a familiar tale with Mourinho – we’ve seen it time and time again. It would more than likely happen at Roma too, but at the moment we’re in the honeymoon period and when Mourinho gets a side playing for him it’s a very dangerous thing for any opposition side.
Feyenoord had a good season in the Dutch Eredivisie. They move up to 3rd again after finishing 5th last season, and the xG table had them in 2nd. They performed well, creating an average xG of 2.0 per game (scoring 2.2) and conceding an average xG of 0.9 (actual 1.0). Those are very good stats. Obviously we must consider that it is a lower level than the Serie A, but that is reflected in the odds. Roma deserve to be favourites. Feyenoord actually have a better history in European football, but that hardly matters here. It’s all about the players and manager now!
It’s always difficult to fully assess the form of these two sides on their journey here. They have been playing some weak sides – this competition was set up for weaker sides after all, and the bigger sides like Roma, Feyenoord and the likes of Leicester who Roma beat in the semi-final kind of fall into a good position after getting knocked out of the Europa League. I think the match odds are priced very fairly here – I don’t see much value. Like I said Roma deserve to be favourites and they are priced accordingly.
Where I see some value is in the goals market. Under 2.5 goals is trading 1.9 and that jumps off the page here. Jose Mourinho will very likely set up his side in a cagey fashion here – he always tends to in big finals, and that’s how they dealt with Leicester in the semi-final too. I know the Dutch Eredivisie isn’t a fantastic standard but you have to say that Feyenoord were rock solid at the back this season. I expected to see unders trading much shorter than 1.9 when I clicked into the market, and it’s a price I can’t ignore. Feyenoord have had some very open games in the competition, but I can’t see Roma letting this game be very open and I expect a very cagey final. I wouldn’t put anyone off a 1-0 Roma win, or a 1-1 in the Correct Score market either.
The Ultra Says:
Three points win Under 2.5 goals at 1.9 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/RomFey